Over or under?
Spring football is behind us and the transfer portal is finally winding down, now it’s time to talk. We’ve got about three and a half months until college football returns, but as they always do, the oddsmakers are already looking ahead to the fall.
Win totals have slowly been leaking out over the last few weeks, and now we have them for every SEC team. According to The Action Network, Tennessee’s number has been placed at 9.5, which ties with Alabama, LSU, Ole Miss and Missouri for third overall in the league. Georgia and Texas tied for first with their total set at 10.5.
Updated 2024 Team Win Totals for SEC Totals from @ActionNetworkHQ
Which totals are y’all hammering for next season?? pic.twitter.com/oBLxsb9r7X
— VernFunquistCFB (@VernFunquistCFB) May 15, 2024
So 9.5 games…. let’s take a look at the schedule one more time.
Tennessee 2024 Football Schedule
Aug. 31 vs. Chattanooga
Sept. 7 vs. NC State (Charlotte)
Sept. 14 vs. Kent State
Sept. 21 at Oklahoma
Sept. 28 BYE
Oct. 5 at Arkansas
Oct. 12 vs. Florida
Oct. 19 vs. Alabama
Oct. 26 BYE
Nov. 2 vs. Kentucky
Nov. 9 vs. Mississippi State
Nov. 16 at Georgia
Nov. 23 vs. UTEP
Nov. 30 at Vanderbilt
Tennessee’s first test will be getting past a good NC State team in Charlotte. Assuming they can do that, a September 21st date at Oklahoma serves at the Vols’ first ‘hinge’ game. The early summer lines have Tennessee as an underdog in that spot.
Should they pull that one off in Norman, the path is pretty clear to ten wins and the over. Dates against Alabama (Oct. 19 at home) and at Georgia (Nov. 16) will tell the rest of the story for Tennessee’s 2024 season. From there? Everything else looks fairly manageable.
For reference, Tennessee’s over 8.5 wins number on DraftKings Sportsbook has been hammered all the way down to -170. So the odds tell us Vegas is projecting a 9-3 season for Tennessee in 2024, but can they get to 10-2? That’s the question — and if they do, they’ll be in the thick of the College Football Playoff race.