The Nashville Predators are set for a busy summer. They have multiple first-round picks, over $17MM in projected cap space, and a clear need for some kind of identity after bets on veteran contracts last summer failed to pan out. Nashville could soon find a release valve from one of those contracts, with teams reportedly callinga bout winger Jonathan Marchessault per David Pagnotta of The Fourth Period. Pagnotta adds that Marchessault has not yet been asked to waive his no-movement clause, and that Nashville doesn’t expect to explore a trade.
The Predators signed Marchessault to a five-year, $27.5MM contract last summer, following the first 40-goal season of his career. But his scoring totals fell back down to Earth this season. He scored just 21 goals and 56 points in 78 games, a modest stat line helped along by 35 assists – the most Marchessault has recorded since the 2021-22 campaign. A 20-goal, 50-point season is an impressive mark for a 34-year-old winger, and a $5.5MM cap hit – but Marchessault struggled to takeover a line as Nashville’s season fell over. That fact, and head coach Andrew Brunette’s insistence on icing his top two lines, led Marchessault to a career-worst minus-29. He was outscored at even-strength 37-to-49, good for a goals-for percentage of just 43 percent.
Marchessault’s numbers don’t come close to being the worst on the Predators’, and his scoring still placed him second on the team and three points ahead of future Hall-of-Famer Steven Stamkos. But his stat line did highlight the shaky ground he walked with the Predators. Just two seasons after winning the 2023 Conn Smythe Trophy and Stanley Cup, Marchessault found himself struggling to lift up a defeated roster. It’s likely that sentiment that teams around the league are recognizing – and with the salary cap rising a record $7.5MM next season, his price tag could be easily budgeted for.
It’s no secret that Marchessault is among the best playoff performers. He was a major contributor to all six of Vegas’ postseason runs, and potted a team-leading 13 goals in 22 games of their 2023 Cup win. Marchessault comes to life in summer hockey, with an impressive ability to stay hot from game-to-game. He recorded 36 goals, 75 points, and a plus-36 in 95 playoff games with the Golden Knights, dating back to their first postseason in 2018. Those performances and a manageable cap hit could make him a tremendous value for teams struggling to break their glass ceilings in the postseason – groups like the Dallas Stars, Carolina Hurricanes, and Toronto Maple Leafs. Even a reunion with Vegas could make sense, after the team managed the second-lowest goals-per-game in the Western Conference this postseason.
His strong contributions have carried over to the regular season as well. Prior to this year, Marchessault had either scored or paced for at least 25 goals in all eight of the full seasons of his NHL career. He made a statement with 27 goals, 48 assists, and 75 points in 77 games of Vegas’ inaugural season, then showed he could still flash with 42 goals and 69 points in 82 games last year. It’s an impressive bout of longevity, though age will seemingly catch up to him sooner or later. He’s entering his age-35 season, and that could drive down his value even despite high goal-scoring upside. Those will be the factors that teams try to balance as they look to convince Nashville to sell their veterans and add $5MM more to their cap space.